International Politics | 更新时间:2024-11-28
Space Resilience: The “Evolution” of U.S. Space Strategy and Its Implications
徐能武 ,  高杨予兮    作者信息&出版信息
International Forum   ·   2024年11月28日   ·   2024年 26卷 第6期   ·   DOI:10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2024.06.002
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AI 摘要

The importance of space to the global hegemony of the United States was discussed, and the reasons and specific measures for the adjustment of the US space strategy were analyzed. It was pointed out that the main direction of the "evolution" of the US space strategy is to create a more flexible space system. The article will analyze the logic and driving forces behind the development of US space resilience, explore the path of US space strategy evolution towards resilience, and examine the impact of this evolution on international relations and space arms control.

1、 The Logic and Motivation of the Development of Space Elasticity in the United States

Discussed the importance and driving forces behind the development of space resilience in the United States. Space resilience refers to the ability of spacecraft and its related equipment to carry out missions and recover from interference, degradation, and damage. The United States is promoting the development of space resilience in order to maintain its advantage in space capabilities and offset asymmetric countermeasures from others. There is a "capability vulnerability" paradox in the space system, which means that countries with stronger space capabilities are more dependent on the space system, and the damage to the space system is greater, making it more vulnerable to attacks. As the threshold for offensive space capabilities decreases, the weaponization of American space will lead to multiple retaliatory strikes by adversaries. The space environment has the characteristics of being easy to attack but difficult to defend. The attacking side has many ways to disrupt the normal operation of the opponent's space system, and the technical and cost thresholds are not high. The United States is attempting to counteract asymmetric countermeasures by developing space resilience, enhancing the ability of space systems to continue operating, combat, and recover in the face of attacks, and achieving resilient deterrence.

2、 The path of the US space strategy evolving towards resilience

The path of the US space strategy evolving towards resilience includes rendering space threats, building a distributed and rapidly restructured space system, and constructing alliance space operation capabilities. The United States exaggerates the threat to space security posed by its adversaries, emphasizing the importance and urgency of developing space resilience. It believes that its adversaries are attempting to disrupt the US space system, balance the US space advantage, use space to engage in hostile activities against the US, subvert US military advantages, and attack space systems to disrupt the space environment and hinder normal US development. The United States has built a distributed and rapidly reorganized space system by upgrading its architecture through distributed constellations, modular functions, and technical upgrades such as maneuvering, rapid response, deception protection, and self-healing, enhancing the cross domain support space system capabilities of ground facilities, sea and air systems, and networks. The United States is strengthening cooperation with its allies in the space field, creating a more collaborative and interoperable "space alliance", increasing available space military capabilities, and further enhancing America's space resilience. The United States and its allies have jointly released the "Alliance Space Operations Vision 2031", emphasizing that space is an integral part of modern multi domain military operations and will establish partnerships to achieve the goals of conflict prevention, unified action, safeguarding space missions, and defense and protection. The United States is also expanding its space security governance "circle of friends", wooing geopolitical allies to weave small circles in the field of space security governance, in order to enhance its space resilience.

3、 The Impact of the Evolution of US Space Strategy on International Security

The evolution of the US space strategy by developing space resilience to counteract asymmetric countermeasures is essentially a space "re deterrence" strategy. This strategy exacerbates the space arms race, reduces strategic stability, hinders the process of space arms control, and can easily trigger international conflicts or even wars. The development of space resilience in the United States has led to the expansion of space hegemony ambitions, promoting the militarization and weaponization of space, forcing other countries to increase their countermeasures, and intensifying the space arms race. The cooperation between the United States and commercial space companies has made space technology more secure, and rival countries are also strengthening their research on space resilience. The use of space elastic systems is difficult to distinguish, which increases the sense of insecurity among actors and leads to an escalation of the space arms race. The "evolution" of the US space strategy has exacerbated the imbalance of space power, leading to difficulties in initiating space arms control, increased uncertainty in cooperation expectations, and difficulty in implementing retaliatory measures, making it difficult to achieve new results in space arms control. The development of space elasticity in the United States poses a "re deterrence" threat to other countries, triggering asymmetric countermeasures and increasing the risk of accidental firing. Space resilience widens the gap in space capabilities among countries and expands the scope of cross domain conflicts. The conflicts triggered by the development of space elasticity can cause serious harm, leading to the suspension or collapse of the international financial system, meteorological service system, and even triggering nuclear war, endangering international economic stability and social development.

4、 Conclusion

Emphasizing the development of space resilience in the United States may exacerbate space weaponization and arms race, posing a threat to international security. The United States should abandon its space hegemony strategy and cooperate with the international community to achieve peaceful development and sustainable use of space through space arms control and international cooperation. The paradox of capability and vulnerability in space systems means that no country can achieve freedom of movement through exclusive control of space. The United States needs to abandon its exceptionalism and hegemonic thinking, and work with other countries to build a community with a shared future for mankind in the field of space, in order to achieve common human interests and its own security development.

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