Relations between China and Other Countries | 更新时间:2024-09-07
Explaining the European Parliament’s Worsening Perceptions of China: A Sentiment Analysis of Its China-related Resolutions
李益斌 ,  赵翊锟    作者信息&出版信息
International Forum   ·   2024年9月7日   ·   2023年 25卷 第2期   ·   DOI:10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2023.02.008
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AI 摘要

The increasing number of China related bills and negative attitudes in the European Parliament pose a challenge to China Europe relations. The existing research lacks sufficient analysis of the time, degree, and causes of attitude deterioration. This article aims to explore these issues in depth by systematically organizing and analyzing proposal data, in order to enhance understanding of the future direction of China Europe relations.

1、 Overview of the European Parliament's Proposal on China

A detailed analysis was conducted on the overview of the European Parliament's proposals related to China, including the number of proposals passed, the main body of the proposals, and the passage of sub topics. Data shows that from 1999 to 2022, the number of human rights bills passed dominated, with a significant increase after 2020 and reaching its peak in 2022. In the proposal that was not passed, the number of other issues far exceeded that of human rights issues. The main body of the motion is often jointly initiated by major political groups in the European Parliament, such as EPP, Su0026D, ECR, Renew, and Verts/ALE. In terms of sub topics, the frequency of comprehensive human rights issues is high but their proportion has decreased. Issues related to Hong Kong and Xinjiang have increased dramatically since 2016, while issues related to Tibet were more common before 2012. After 2006, Taiwan related bills disappeared for a while, but reappeared in 2021.

2、 Emotional inclination and characteristics of the European Parliament's sub topic on China

The sentiment analysis method was used to study the emotional tendencies and characteristics of the European Parliament's proposals related to China. The study adopts discourse level sentiment analysis, based on the NRC sentiment dictionary and related works, to divide sentiment segmentation into three types: positive, negative, and neutral, and adjust some special sentiment segmentation. Through statistical analysis, a sentiment analysis method suitable for European Parliament's China related bills is developed to calculate the sentiment score of the text.

3、 Exploring the reasons for the deterioration of the European Parliament's attitude towards China: from the perspective of party groups

Deeply analyzed the reasons for the deterioration of the European Parliament's attitude towards China, especially from the perspective of party groups. Research has found that the rise of populist parties is not the main reason, although they may use human rights issues in some cases, the participation of emerging right-wing party groups in human rights bills related to China is not significant. On the contrary, the fragmentation of political party power within the European Parliament, particularly the balance of center left and center right forces, as well as the strengthening of the Green Party and the Revival of Europe caucus, and the increasing attention to human rights issues, may be a key factor leading to the deterioration of attitudes towards China. Through statistical data, the author points out that the participation rate of the Renaissance Europe and its predecessor, the European Union for Freedom and Democracy, in human rights proposals related to China is significantly higher than other party groups, indicating that it has played a more critical role in the deterioration of its attitude towards China. At the same time, the participation rate of the People's Party in human rights proposals related to China has also increased, indicating that it has played a role in the deterioration of its attitude. These findings coincide with the timeline of multiple crises and ideological polarization in Europe, providing clues for further exploration of the reasons why the Renaissance Europe and the People's Party have a more negative attitude towards human rights issues related to China.

4、 Reviving Europe under the background of ideological polarization and the People's Party's attitude towards China

In the context of ideological polarization, the distribution of party power in the European Parliament shows a fragmented trend, with traditional party groups declining in vote share, right-wing party groups rising, and middle forces such as Renaissance Europe and the Green Party increasing in vote share. The deteriorating attitude of the Renaissance Europe and People's Party towards China is due to both parliamentary and values perspectives. The Renaissance European Party was jointly established by the European Liberal Democratic Union and the French Republic's Progressive Party. Its participation rate in human rights bills related to China has increased, with a majority of newly elected members. They value issues such as human rights, freedom, and prosperity, and promote the revival of Europe. The attitude of the People's Party caucus towards China has deteriorated, and among its members, former members from Soviet and Eastern countries pay more attention to human rights issues related to China, which may be related to Cold War thinking. The People's Party emphasizes the maintenance of Christian values and fundamental principles, and the enhancement of the international status of the European Union. The ideological polarization and confrontation have led to a deterioration of the European Parliament's attitude towards China. China needs to fully understand the negative attitude of the European Parliament's proposals related to China, adhere to national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and maintain dialogue and exchanges with all sectors of the EU to promote the healthy development of China EU relations.

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