更新时间:2024-09-07
The new situation facing the Belt and Road Initiative in Eurasia and its countermeasures;Инициатива «Один пояс, один путь» в Евразии: новая ситуация и её контрмеры
邓浩 ,  李琰    作者信息&出版信息
Eurasian Humanities Studies   ·   2024年9月7日   ·   2023年 第4期  
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AI 摘要

On the tenth anniversary of the "the Belt and Road" initiative, China's cooperation with Eurasian countries has achieved remarkable results and become an international cooperation platform. At present, the Eurasian region is facing complex situations such as tension in major country relations, rising security risks, and challenges in economic development, which pose a new test to the construction of the "the Belt and Road". China and Eurasian countries need to jointly address challenges, promote high-quality development initiatives, and promote the construction of a community with a shared future in the region.

1、 New changes in the situation in the Eurasian region

In recent years, the Eurasian region has undergone major changes, including dramatic changes in Afghanistan, the COVID-19 and the crisis in Ukraine, which pose challenges to regional security and economic development. The Ukrainian crisis has intensified geopolitical pressure and security risks, with frequent hot events within the region such as regime change, domestic unrest, and border conflicts, intertwining traditional and non-traditional security issues. In terms of economy, factors such as war, sanctions, and the pandemic have led to a new round of crisis in the regional economy.

2、 The the Belt and Road Initiative faces new challenges in Eurasia

Against the background of major changes in the situation in Eurasia, the "the Belt and Road" initiative is facing new challenges and pressures. The crisis in Ukraine has had multiple adverse effects on the construction of the "the Belt and Road". The United States has increased its efforts to curb Russia and weaken Russia, and at the same time, it has suppressed China, interfering and destroying the joint construction of the "the Belt and Road" between China and Eurasian countries. The United States regards the "the Belt and Road" initiative as a geopolitical tool and increases efforts to pursue and intercept. The United States has launched the "Indo Pacific Economic Framework" and "Semiconductor Alliance" to lure countries to decouple from China. The US Treasury Secretary calls for joint sanctions against Russia and China by the US and Europe. The United States launched the "Global Infrastructure and Investment Partnership" program, with a scale of nearly $600 billion, aimed at hedging the "the Belt and Road" initiative. The United States, the United Kingdom, India, Australia and Japan are building the "Blue Pacific Partnership Mechanism" to compete for countries along the "the Belt and Road". Central Asia is one of the focuses. The US Secretary of State announced the provision of $25 million to assist Central Asian countries in expanding new trade routes. The EU launched the "Global Gateway" plan, spending 300 billion dollars to promote infrastructure construction in developing countries to compete with the "the Belt and Road". The EU supports the use of a trans Caspian energy trade route in Central Asia that bypasses Russia. Türkiye, India and other countries have also increased their interaction and cooperation with Central Asian countries to compete for countries along the "the Belt and Road".

3、 China and Eurasia jointly build the "the Belt and Road" and "Organic in Danger"

Against the backdrop of geopolitical turmoil and the impact of the pandemic, the Chinese economy remains vibrant and has become a driving force for global and regional economic recovery. In 2022, the trade volume between China and countries along the "the Belt and Road" will increase significantly, accounting for 32.9% of China's total foreign trade. China and Eurasia are facing new opportunities to jointly build the "the Belt and Road", expand cooperation space, and improve logistics channels and settlement methods.

4、 The basic path of high-quality promotion of the "the Belt and Road" construction in Eurasia under the new situation

In the new situation, to promote the construction of the the Belt and Road in Eurasia, it is necessary to strengthen strategic planning and coordination, consolidate the achievements of cooperation, prevent security risks, address economic challenges and take advantage of new opportunities. We need to increase the promotion of ideas, policy communication and strategic alignment, promote the "the Belt and Road" initiative, promote strategic and policy communication with Eurasian countries, and build a community of shared future. Promote the organic combination of "hard connectivity", "soft connectivity" and "heart connectivity", smooth the logistics and supply chains, enhance the level of interconnectivity, fill in the weak links of "heart connectivity", and improve the public's sense of identity and acceptance. Comprehensively enhance the ability to prevent and resolve various risks, strengthen security cooperation, promote the signing and updating of trade and investment agreements in legal form, and deepen cooperation in the financial sector. Expand new space, new fields and new models of practical cooperation, promote high-level opening up, attract high-quality goods to the Chinese market, accelerate the construction of the Smart Silk Road and the Digital Silk Road, and promote the green development of the "the Belt and Road".

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