In the 2022 French National Assembly elections, the National Alliance became the biggest winner, winning 89 seats and changing its marginal position. The center right coalition led by Macron failed to gain an absolute majority and needs to seek cooperation. The National Union has received financial support, freed itself from accusations of relying on Russian loans, and established a lasting foundation in the constituency. Although Marina Le Pen lost the presidential election, her approval rating increased. The National Alliance is regarded as a legitimate political party and has shed its stigma. Its success reflected the political demands of the people, was accepted by public opinion, and attracted supporters of non predecessor National Front. The study is based on a public opinion survey conducted in June 2022, with a total of 3398 respondents.
Public opinion polls show that the National Alliance and the European Ecological Green Party are leading in terms of platform support, but most respondents have reservations about the National Alliance. The rise of Eric Zemul has affected the votes of the National League, especially among far right voters. Le Pen's support in different social classes is comparable to that of Macron, and even surpasses Macron in the civilian class. The performance of the National Alliance in the National Assembly elections is seen as a positive shift, with most respondents believing that its acquisition of 89 seats is a good thing.
In the past decade, French voters have shifted to the right on immigration and criminal policies, but National Union voters have been unique due to their clear opposition to the EU and immigration. In the National Assembly elections, 32% of supporters of the National Union hope that France will leave the European Union, far higher than supporters of other political parties. 92% of supporters of the National Alliance believe that immigration issues pose a challenge to national values and coexistence, which is lower among voters of other political parties. However, immigration and religious issues are not the most pressing concerns for voters, and purchasing power is more important. Table 1 shows that only voters of the "Reconquista Party" consider immigration as their primary concern.
The National Alliance has made significant progress in terms of social class penetration, attracting more support from high social and professional classes, higher education groups, and highly educated civil servants. In the first round of the presidential election, Le Pen and Zemul respectively received 13% and 3% -12% of the votes from senior private and public sector officials. In the second round of elections, Le Pen's approval ratings among senior public and private sector officials rose to 21% and 31%, respectively. In the National Assembly elections, the National Alliance candidates also received a certain proportion of support from senior officials. Starting from 2022, the National Alliance will represent more of the middle class and upper echelons of society, rather than just the common people.
In the presidential election, Eric Zemul's candidacy pushed the National Alliance towards a center of gravity, but did not fully absorb old school far right voters. After Zemul's defeat, most of his voters turned to Le Pen, while DuPont Enion's voters were scattered and cast for Macron, blank or invalid votes. The National Alliance maintained high loyalty in the National Assembly elections, while supporters of Zemur continued to support their party in the parliamentary elections. Le Pen refused to ally with Zemul, avoiding the alliance of radical right-wing forces. In the 2022 election, there was no significant loss of voters for Macron, radical leftists, the National Alliance, and those who boycotted the election.
The National Alliance has expanded its voter base and social acceptance, shifting its focus to purchasing power and public services, enhancing its influence in the upper echelons of society. Actively participate in parliament to avoid becoming stubborn opponents of the government. Despite maintaining hostility towards immigration and lacking cultural liberalization, marginalization has been avoided through reform, becoming a key force in political restructuring.
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