更新时间:2024-06-25
Tokayev’s political reform under the “New Kazakhstan” strategy and its impact on Sino-Kazakhstan relations;Политические реформы Токаева в рамках стратегии «Новый Казахстан»и их влияние на китайско-казахстанские отношения
汪金国 ,  汪煚    作者信息&出版信息
Eurasian Humanities Studies   ·   2024年6月25日   ·   2023年 第2期  
369 6(CNKI)
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AI 摘要

Since its independence in 1991, Kazakhstan has maintained political stability, experienced rapid economic development, improved people's living standards, and enhanced overall national strength. After the peaceful handover of power in 2019, President Tokayev adjusted the governing philosophy of former President Nazarbayev, shifting the focus of governance to the development of democratic politics, and reintroduced the concept of "New Kazakhstan", which was recognized by Western countries. As China's neighbor and an important transportation node of the "the Belt and Road", Kazakhstan's political reform has an important impact on China Kazakhstan relations. Analyzing the reasons for political reform in Kazakhstan, whether it sends a pro Western signal, and its impact on China Kazakhstan relations has practical significance.

1、 The background of political reform under the concept of "New Kazakhstan"

In January 2022, Kazakhstan experienced a domestic crisis due to public protests caused by the rise in liquefied petroleum gas prices. President Tokayev requested the intervention of the Collective Security Treaty Organization of the Commonwealth of Independent States, which eased the situation. This incident prompted Tokayev to reintroduce the "New Kazakhstan" national concept, aimed at changing the development paradigm of the country, addressing the shortcomings of the political, economic, and social governance systems, eliminating the wealth gap in society, combating corruption and monopolies, achieving social equity, enhancing citizens' sense of national identity, and improving the country's overall strength. Political reform has become an important part of restructuring the national political power structure to meet the needs of national development, strengthen the competitiveness of political parties, and improve the mechanism for balancing national power. Political reform is also a political prerequisite for breaking the monopoly of economic interests and building a new Kazakhstan, promoting the transformation of economic structure, and achieving the transition of national interest revenue from traditional energy to emerging energy. In addition, political reform helps to dilute tribal consciousness, enhance citizens' national identity, and build a new civil society in Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan's unique geopolitical environment also requires political reforms to adapt to the new changes in the political and economic interests of major powers. The 'January Incident' became an accelerator for Tokayev's political reforms, driving Kazakhstan towards modernization and development.

2、 The Content and Prospects of Political Reform in Kazakhstan

Tokayev's political reform aims to build a "New Kazakhstan" and achieve power balance by adjusting the political power structure. The reform includes rebalancing the three checks and balances system, reducing the influence of the president on the legislative process, enhancing parliamentary representation, reforming the political party system, establishing a constitutional court, and the president withdrawing from political parties to promote political diversity. The level of local autonomy has been improved by clarifying the separation of functions between local governments and local autonomy through draft laws, reducing corruption, enhancing government credibility, and strengthening the capacity of law enforcement agencies through anti-corruption policy concepts and laws. Media freedom and diversity are strengthened by amending mass media legislation to encourage independent and objective news reporting. Reform is a product of inheritance and innovation, responding to the rapid development situation at home and abroad. Despite facing challenges, Tokayev adopted gradual reforms to avoid radical measures triggering political crises. The reform faces challenges such as deepening the adjustment of political power structure, coordinating old and new interest conflicts, and resolving social contradictions. Tokayev needs to accumulate reputation and experience in the reform, and be alert to the hidden dangers of political instability.

3、 The impact of political reforms in Kazakhstan on China Kazakhstan relations

Explored the impact of political reforms under the "New Kazakhstan" strategy proposed by Kazakh President Tokayev on China Kazakhstan relations. Political reform aims to balance political power and create a favorable environment for economic development, which is an important turning point in the modernization of Kazakhstan. Although the reform mainly targets domestic issues, it is closely related to foreign policy. China Kazakhstan relations have a long history, and the two countries have achieved fruitful results in cooperation in multiple fields. As a reform leader, Tokayev's personal background and governing ability have a significant impact on China Kazakhstan relations. He highly praised the friendly relations between China and Kazakhstan and actively promoted cooperation between the two countries after taking office. Political reform is based on addressing issues such as domestic political power imbalance and insufficient economic driving force, with the aim of providing a political foundation for national development. China supports Kazakhstan in pursuing a development path that is in line with its national conditions, and political reforms in Kazakhstan have a positive impact on China Kazakhstan relations. Kazakhstan's political reform takes into account the geopolitical environment and maintains good relations with the United States and Russia, but China remains an important strategic partner for cooperation. Kazakhstan will continue to pursue a diversified and balanced foreign policy, and the prospects for the development of China Kazakhstan relations are clear, which is unlikely to be affected by political reforms. Kazakhstan is aware that China does not have political prerequisites, and China supports Tokayev's political reform. The "diversified and balanced" diplomatic strategy of Kazakhstan is conducive to national development, and the cooperation between China and Kazakhstan covers a wide range of areas.

4、 Summary

The importance of political reforms under Tokayev's "New Kazakhstan" strategy was emphasized, including power structure adjustments, economic development, and social construction, aimed at adapting to changes in the times and the needs of the people. The reform will change the political structure centered on the president, enhance government responsibility, improve the clarity of power and responsibility of the government and parliament, enhance the authority of the constitution, promote the institutionalization of local autonomy, and increase public trust in the government. At the same time, reform can help reduce political corruption, narrow the wealth gap, provide a political foundation for economic modernization, abandon tribalism, cultivate civil society awareness, and enhance national identity. However, there may be risks of political instability and instability during the reform process, and Kazakhstan needs to ensure political stability and national security. Ha's political reform is mainly driven by the needs of domestic social development, rather than diplomatic challenges. Kazakhstan has always followed a foreign policy of diversity and balance, rising in the great power game. As a friendly neighbor of Kazakhstan, China firmly supports the construction of the "New Kazakhstan" and the cooperation between the two countries continues to deepen in multiple fields. Political reform will promote the development of the "the Belt and Road" and deepen bilateral cooperation. In the future, the game between major powers in Kazakhstan and Central Asia may intensify. China needs to increase investment in Kazakhstan, strengthen people to people exchanges and cooperation, maintain energy security, use the Shanghai Cooperation Organization as a platform, strengthen cooperation with Central Asian countries, and maintain regional peace and stability.

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